ERC is the first to report weekend estimates--be sure to check here Saturday mornings 8am PST | Check us out on FACEBOOK and TWITTER--and become a fan! |
Source: Jeff Bock
Date: Nov 15, 2012

Despite what you may have heard, Abraham Lincoln is no vampire hunter. After an impressive polling in limited run last weekend, Spielberg’s “Lincoln” bio-pic expands into wide release, but will be no match for what is unquestionably the most rabidly anticipated film of the holiday season—“Twilight: Breaking Dawn Part 2.”

In fact, Fandango is already reporting that the final chapter of the “Twilight” franchise is sucking down 92% of all ticket sales. That sucks, big time…for “Lincoln.” But, truth be told (and Abe was never a feller to beat around the bush), the target demo for “Lincoln” probably doesn’t even know what a “presale ticket” is.

For what it’s worth, both films will come out as winners, at least as far as their respective audiences and box office projections go. It’s just that one film will gross, oh, say $135+ million or so more than the other.  Thus, proving once and for all, that Abe Lincoln really has no business hunting vampires, or werewolves, or any other magical creatures for that matter. Has that been sufficiently cleared up? Good.

Author Stephenie Meyer’s swan song is by far the most interesting film of the five (as of this writing, I say this as a male in his 30’s), even though it tried really, really hard to be a new “X-Men” flick. Who knew vampires had so many mutations?!? Who knew dozens of decapitations could get a PG-13 rating?!? “X-Men” envy and MPAA investigations aside, “BDp2” should have no problem pulling a “Deathly Hallows,” and much like the final cliffhanger episode of Harry Potter, see “BDp2” propel the series to new box office heights.

“Deathly Hallows Pt. 1” debuted with what was then the franchise-high, $125 million, and then just eight months later, “Deathly Hallows Pt. 2” bookended the franchise with a magical debut of $169M—second only to “Marvel’s The Avengers.” It is worth noting however, that “DHp2” was the first film in the franchise to be released in 3D, which certainly helped bump up the box office.

It’s doubtful “Breaking Dawn Pt. 2” will see an injection into the main box office vein of +$44 million like “Harry Potter”  did between the final installments, but it will easily surpass the $138M “BDp1” debuted with, and most likely eclipse “New Moon’s” series-topping $142 million. Yes, in 4,070 theaters expect $150+ million…and that’s a relatively conservative estimate.

For a series that has spawned a whole new rabid fanbase—call them “Twi-hards” or more appropriately “Fang-girls”—this is a demographic Hollywood has been attempting to court for quite some time. Before “Twilight,” women never really had a “Star Wars” or “Lord of the Rings” to call their own. “Twilight has given them that…and much more.

With the recent success of “The Hunger Games” and possibly next summer’s “The Mortal Instruments” this fanbase will be well served for some time. And although, Meyer has not officially announced she will be continuing the legend of the Twilight saga in book form, Summit and Lionsgate are certainly more-than-eager to crank out a few more harlequin horror films.

I’m betting Meyer will write more, even if they just turn out to be screenplays instead of novels. “Breaking Dawn Part 2” might be the end of this series, but the film franchise that has earned $2.5 billion from box office receipts alone, is far from over. Heck, even the end of “BDp2” sets it up for much more. After all, tentpoles, like vampires, are immortal in Hollywood, aren’t they? Just ask George Lucas. And even if actors aren’t, motion-capture certainly is. Who knows, in 1,000 years audiences may still be watching new adventures of Robert Pattinson and Kristen Stewart all the while gazing longingly at Taylor Lautner’s 12-pack abs.   

With the “Twilight” frenzy enveloping the nation—and the world—“Lincoln” will be a bit lost in the blood-sucking media maelstrom, no doubt. However, expect Disney to spin their straw polls into gold and stump up $15 million in 1,775 theaters. That would double up the opening gate for Spielberg’s last film, “War Horse,” which went on to gross nearly $80 million domestic and $97 million internationally. Expect “Lincoln” to be a slow burn, but if awards nominations are showered upon it, this could easily end up being the #1 Lincoln film of the year, surpassing “Abraham Lincoln: Vampire Hunter,” which has taken in $114 million worldwide so far.

With “Twilight” flirting with $150 million and “Skyfall” expected to rake in another $40+ million it looks like we’ll have one of the biggest weekends of the year at the box office.  And, if “Twilight” over-performs ala “Harry Potter” this weekend may go down as the top dog of 2012. Either way, it’s a good sign as we enter the home stretch where we are currently +5% over 2011’s total box office.


Weekend Estimates

1.       Twilight: Breaking Dawn Pt. 2 - $150M

2.       Skyfall - $42M   

3.       Wreck-It Ralph - $24M

4.       Lincoln - $15M

5.       Flight - $9M


I think it's important to find the little things in everyday life that make you happy. - Marla Ahlgrimm
insanity workout, ugg, thomas sabo uk, louis vuitton outlet, coach outlet, michael kors uk, canada goose outlet, coach outlet store online, cheap oakley sunglasses, asics shoes, ray ban outlet, prada handbags, herve leger, chi flat iron, ralph lauren, uggs canada, montre femme, ferragamo shoes, moncler outlet, nike air max, louis vuitton outlet, wedding dresses, christian louboutin, nike air max, true religion, nike air force, hollister, polo ralph lauren, iphone 6 case, abercrombie and fitch, celine handbags, beats headphones, coach outlet, chanel handbags, valentino shoes, new balance outlet, nfl jerseys, louis vuitton outlet online, instyler ionic styler, mcm handbags, louis vuitton, michael kors outlet store, longchamp outlet online, hollister canada, jimmy choo shoes, nike roshe run, links of london uk, longchamp, polo ralph lauren outlet, coach purses, true religion jeans, michael kors canada, ray ban, nike air max, ugg boots clearance, lululemon outlet online, replica watches, timberland shoes, mulberry uk, michael kors handbags, pandora jewelry, sac louis vuitton, louis vuitton pas cher, babyliss, ray ban uk, burberry outlet online, nike free pas cher, nike air max, moncler, tiffany jewelry, converse, moncler, pandora charms, michael kors outlet online, karen millen, hollister, ugg soldes, canada goose pas cher, louis vuitton, replica watches, nike free, north face, canada goose, sac michael kors, canada goose outlet, kate spade outlet, kate spade outlet online, louis vuitton handbags, pandora uk, north face jackets, nike roshe, bottega veneta, juicy couture outlet, coach outlet, chaussure louboutin, ralph lauren pas cher, nike blazer pas cher, mont blanc pens, prada outlet, nike trainers, giuseppe zanotti, timberland, moncler, guess pas cher, vans pas cher, sac vanessa bruno, canada goose, hollister, louis vuitton canada, north face jackets, north face pas cher, louis vuitton uk, ghd, louboutin, tn pas cher, christian louboutin shoes, baseball bats, burberry pas cher, vans outlet, ugg outlet, longchamp handbags, swarovski jewelry, wedding dress, mac cosmetics, ugg boots, supra shoes, converse shoes, moncler, michael kors outlet online sale, ray ban pas cher, oakley sunglasses, swarovski uk, true religion outlet, nike roshe, longchamp, barbour, hollister clothing, gucci handbags, air jordan, true religion outlet, soccer shoes, oakley vault, juicy couture outlet, ugg, vans, air max, air max pas cher, nike outlet, tory burch outlet online, abercrombie and fitch, gucci, oakley pas cher, nike air max, longchamp pas cher, ralph lauren, new balance pas cher, oakley, birkin bag, canada goose outlet, reebok shoes, longchamp outlet, tiffany and co jewelry, canada goose, soccer jerseys, lacoste pas cher, nike free, nike huarache, scarpe hogan, toms outlet, moncler outlet, hollister, lancel, lululemon outlet, christian louboutin outlet, michael kors outlet, hermes pas cher, red bottom shoes, converse pas cher, moncler, air max, ray ban sunglasses, burberry outlet online, michael kors outlet online, p90x workout, jordan shoes
Bernie Pendarvis

Bernie Pendarvis

]Bernie Pendarvis[/url]


While still on the subject of matching cheap Replica handbags with body, your height will receive consideration. For anyone who is slim and tall, choose a rounded bag to compliment your body shape.Consider your budget. Could possibly whole number of designer replica bags in existence which have a tremendous cost range, nevertheless , you can always go perfect for how much cash you have if you've saved up well (usually originating in $1000 is good enough).

It usually is tempting to obtain the vital Cheap Ralph Lauren thing you observe, but research prices just a little. Should you be the shortish type, select a bag that's tall and rectangular, preferably with straps to enable you to adjust based on occasions. Should you be employ a regular figure (not too short, not too tall), then your arena of bags is yours to select from, just make sure not to ever choose one that's too small or too big.Find the occasion that you intend to require the bag. Would it be a regular bag or maybe a bag for Dior outlet special occasions? Or possibly it's an evening clutch? An every day bag needs to be sturdy and hardy - may take in most your carry-arounds and be comfortable whilst still being look chic.

An evening clutch might need to be beaded or sequined and possibly a lttle bit showier.Okay, lastly, really lastly, go with a bag with adjustable straps and many compartments in it. You'll find how handy these come as soon as your Chanel replica handbags weight changes or you're simply looking to get your bag organized. In addition, designers constantly have offers on their own bags, so searching online will be a big help. If you want to check out most of these deals at the moment, check out our site.
You need to by no means gucci replica bags several study. Appropriate search will allow you to to locate one of the most outstanding bag that may fit the stylish perception and also price range. There are numerous internet vendors. When you are interested in modish bags, then you can certainly find the best kinds coming from right now there. All facets regarding these kinds of replica prada tote will be tremendously near the well-known brand names. Hence, the 2 changes show up practically the identical. From the initial picture, it really is difficult to be able to identify these. The final, feature and also models accessible are usually fake chanel bags unbelievable then one adores them. Many modish seeking look-alike bags come in trend today. They're basically outstanding and also spectacular. These kinds of look-alike bags are usually many spectacular and also stylish and also supply you with the fresh sense and also increase self-confidence. Inside current moment having a fresh, stylish and also great seeking fake hermes bags usually are not simply designed for the particular well-off folks. They're presently produced secure and also low-cost to be able to contact each economic price range and also selection. It is possible to simply take pleasure in these simply by acquiring on the web in which you obtain the particular fake gucci bags satisfaction and also brand-like school with very best achievable costs.

Add Comment